Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | UC Davis Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.3% | 62.7% | +2.8 | ✓ (12.2 off) |
| Efficiency | 15.7% | 84.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Davis Aggies +15 (75-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Fields * | 37 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 9-13 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 17 | - |
| Avery Felts * | 28 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| O. El-Sheikh * | 25 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Izaiyah Nelson * | 22 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - |
| M. Davis * | 13 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Terrance Ford Jr. | 35 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | - |
| M. Farrington | 29 | 4-13 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Julian Lual | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Boutayeb | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah Pepper * | 35 | 4-11 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Christian Anigwe * | 29 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Robby Beasley III * | 29 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Ty Johnson * | 18 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Ade Adebayo * | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Kane Milling | 30 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Leo DeBruhl | 22 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Niko Rocak | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Sione Lose | 11 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
* = starter