Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | Loyola Marymount Lions | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.3% | 33.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.1% | 71.9% | +5.2 | ✓ (4.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 65.6% | 34.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.8% | 85.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.7% | 85.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Loyola Marymount Lions +10 (85-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robby Beasley III | 23 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Jac Mani | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Ty Johnson * | 34 | 6-13 | 1-4 | 2-5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 4 | - |
| Elijah Pepper * | 34 | 13-22 | 4-10 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 32 | 19 | - |
| Kane Milling * | 27 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Christian Anigwe * | 21 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Sam Manu * | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Leo DeBruhl | 25 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Sione Lose | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Niko Rocak | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Loyola Marymount Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Shelton * | 35 | 8-20 | 3-7 | 5-6 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 18 | - |
| Keli Leaupepe * | 32 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 19 | - |
| Justin Ahrens * | 32 | 2-9 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Jalin Anderson * | 22 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Michael Graham * | 18 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Chance Stephens | 24 | 4-7 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Alex Merkviladze | 20 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Lamaj Lewis | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
* = starter