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2022-12-30

Model Predictions

Model Hartford Hawks Saint Francis Red Wolves Spread Result
Elo 6.6% 93.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 14.7% 85.3% - โœ“
Margin 4.3% 95.7% +17.0 โœ“ (7.0 off)
Pythagorean 4.1% 95.9% - โœ“
Efficiency 3.7% 96.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 17.5% 82.5% - โœ“

Actual: Saint Francis Red Wolves +10 (46-36). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Hartford Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Dowding 33 0-12 0-6 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 0 -10 -
Tatum Forbes 33 6-12 1-2 6-10 11 4 0 1 4 19 19 -
I. Primo 23 2-6 2-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 6 -1 -
T. Outten 20 0-3 0-0 2-2 7 0 2 0 2 2 6 -
L. Johnson-Kleinpeter 20 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 0 0 -
Brianna Williams 19 3-6 0-0 1-2 3 0 1 0 2 7 3 -
Elena Houghton 17 1-1 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 2 5 -
Zaiha Minnis 13 0-3 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 0 -3 -
K. Nance 10 0-8 0-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -6 -
J. Barnes 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
S. Hallberg 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 0 -1 -

Saint Francis Red Wolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Layla Laws 27 1-4 0-1 0-0 5 0 0 1 3 2 1 -
Aaliyah Moore 27 6-11 0-0 3-8 18 0 1 0 2 15 21 -
D. Ward 22 2-9 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 3 4 -5 -
Adison Novosel 22 0-5 0-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -
Filippa Goula 21 3-10 0-1 0-0 4 2 2 0 2 6 2 -
Semaya Turner 20 1-5 1-4 2-6 5 0 2 0 4 5 3 -
Jade Campbell 19 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
S. Miller 18 4-9 0-0 1-2 8 0 0 0 3 9 5 -
Maria McConnell 17 1-5 1-4 0-0 3 0 2 0 1 3 2 -
Julianna Gibson 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Harris Robinson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter