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2022-11-22

Model Predictions

Model Saint Francis Red Wolves Morgan State Lady Bears Spread Result
Elo 19.3% 80.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 15.2% 84.8% - โœ“
Margin 4.9% 95.1% +16.3 โœ“ (15.3 off)
Pythagorean 8.7% 91.3% - โœ“
Efficiency 2.9% 97.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 18.6% 81.4% - โœ“

Actual: Morgan State Lady Bears +1 (50-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Saint Francis Red Wolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Filippa Goula 37 2-8 1-3 3-3 4 6 1 0 5 8 6 -
Aaliyah Moore 35 3-6 0-0 1-2 10 1 1 1 2 7 12 -
Layla Laws 33 4-10 0-1 0-2 5 1 4 1 3 8 6 -
D. Ward 30 3-3 1-1 7-7 0 0 0 0 5 14 6 -
S. Miller 25 2-3 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 1 2 6 6 -
Adison Novosel 25 1-6 1-6 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 3 -4 -
Maria McConnell 11 1-5 1-5 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 0 -
Semaya Turner 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
Julianna Gibson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Morgan State Lady Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Henson 34 4-7 0-1 0-0 1 1 3 0 3 8 3 -
T. Addison 32 6-9 0-1 0-0 13 1 0 1 2 12 16 -
C. Shepherd 31 4-10 0-1 5-7 5 0 0 0 2 13 6 -
S. Johnson 27 1-7 0-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -6 -
Emily Jones 26 4-11 1-5 0-0 1 2 4 0 1 9 4 -
S. McCrae 15 1-9 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 1 1 2 -3 -
Gabrielle Johnson 10 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -1 -
Jael Butler 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 2 2 -
Fatima Black 8 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -4 -
V. Oduah 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
M. Bumbray 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter