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2022-11-19

Model Predictions

Model Towson Tigers Saint Francis Red Wolves Spread Result
Elo 85.1% 14.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 86.3% 13.7% - โœ“
Margin 97.6% 2.4% -20.4 โœ“ (10.4 off)
Pythagorean 88.8% 11.2% - โœ“
Efficiency 94.7% 5.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 96.6% 3.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 96.7% 3.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 84.1% 15.9% - โœ“

Actual: Saint Francis Red Wolves -10 (58-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Towson Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Kornegay-Lucas 36 6-15 0-2 7-7 8 3 5 2 3 19 19 -
Anissa Rivera 34 7-15 1-6 0-1 5 1 2 0 0 15 8 -
R. Evans 29 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 2 4 3 -
Quinzia Fulmore 27 4-9 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 1 3 8 4 -
Alexia Nelson 22 2-5 0-2 5-6 1 3 0 0 1 9 7 -
S. Williams 20 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 4 3 -
India Johnston 17 1-3 1-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 3 3 -
Gabby Scott 12 2-6 0-2 0-0 3 1 2 0 1 4 3 -
Mariah Wilson 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 2 4 -

Saint Francis Red Wolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Aaliyah Moore 37 3-7 0-1 1-2 13 1 2 0 4 7 12 -
S. Miller 35 3-8 0-1 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 6 3 -
Layla Laws 34 7-14 1-2 0-0 6 4 0 0 2 15 9 -
Filippa Goula 34 3-5 1-3 4-4 1 6 0 0 7 11 6 -
Adison Novosel 31 3-8 3-8 0-0 4 0 2 0 0 9 7 -
D. Ward 23 2-10 1-3 2-2 1 0 0 0 3 7 -5 -
Maria McConnell 5 1-2 1-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 3 2 -
Julianna Gibson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter