Model Predictions
| Model | Fresno State Bulldogs | UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.1% | 78.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.5% | 80.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.0% | 67.0% | +3.9 | ✓ (3.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 11.1% | 88.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos +7 (61-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Fresno State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Hill * | 36 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Anthony Holland * | 32 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Jemarl Baker Jr. * | 25 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Donavan Yap * | 24 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Isaih Moore * | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Leo Colimerio | 28 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Destin Whitaker | 24 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Jordan Campbell | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ariel Bland | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Miles Norris * | 39 | 5-13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Ajay Mitchell * | 39 | 3-14 | 0-6 | 8-8 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Andre Kelly * | 36 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 23 | - |
| Calvin Wishart * | 28 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Ajare Sanni * | 13 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Josh Pierre-Louis | 21 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Cole Anderson | 20 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Jakov Kukic | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter