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Portland Pilots 53
@
San Diego State Aztecs 55
2022-11-18

Model Predictions

Model Portland Pilots San Diego State Aztecs Spread Result
Elo 18.9% 81.1% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 22.5% 77.5% - ✓
Margin 31.3% 68.7% +4.3 ✓ (2.3 off)
Pythagorean 51.7% 48.3% - ✗

Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +2 (55-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Cochrane 31 2-6 0-0 2-4 11 3 2 4 5 6 15 -
E. Shearer 27 4-11 2-4 3-3 2 1 1 0 2 13 4 -
A. Fowler 27 6-9 0-0 2-4 8 2 2 2 2 14 17 -
M. Burnham 22 1-6 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 0 3 2 -3 -
K. Frawley 21 0-3 0-1 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 0 1 -
M. Meek 20 3-4 2-3 0-0 4 7 2 0 0 8 17 -
L. Kaitu'u 18 1-5 0-0 0-0 0 0 2 0 1 2 -2 -
K. Lenzie 16 1-4 0-3 2-2 1 1 1 0 5 4 -2 -
MJ Bruno 11 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 4 2 -
M. Samia 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 0 0 -
E. Sewell 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

San Diego State Aztecs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Staples 38 7-15 4-8 2-2 3 0 2 1 0 20 11 -
S. Ramos 36 4-11 2-6 2-2 1 3 2 1 2 12 6 -
A. Crain 33 0-4 0-0 0-0 1 3 1 0 2 0 -1 -
Y. Morris 29 3-8 0-0 5-6 8 1 2 1 3 11 12 -
K. Pepe 21 2-8 0-1 2-6 3 0 1 0 1 6 1 -
A. Prohaska 19 1-4 0-0 0-0 3 2 2 0 4 2 1 -
K. Villalobos 14 0-3 0-0 2-2 6 2 1 1 1 2 8 -
M. Fiso 8 1-4 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 4 2 -3 -
S. Barcello 2 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter