Model Predictions
| Model | Alcorn State Braves | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.8% | 96.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 9.6% | 90.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.3% | 98.7% | +23.8 | ✓ (18.2 off) |
| Efficiency | 18.2% | 81.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers +42 (88-46). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alcorn State Braves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevin Wade | 33 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Byron Joshua | 30 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -3 | - |
| Keondre Montgomery | 28 | 5-13 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 5 | - |
| DJ Brewton | 28 | 3-13 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Ladarius Marshall | 23 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Dontrell McQuarter | 22 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -2 | - |
| Darryl Jordan | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Devin Carter | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Willie Anderson | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jeremiah Kendall | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Cameron Butler | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mustapha Amzil | 37 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 7-10 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 17 | - |
| DaRon Holmes II | 31 | 10-14 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 23 | 21 | - |
| R.J. Blakney | 29 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 19 | - |
| Toumani Camara | 28 | 7-15 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Mike Sharavjamts | 25 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Koby Brea | 24 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Zimi Nwokeji | 16 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Brady Uhl | 10 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
* = starter