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2022-11-11

Model Predictions

Model SMU Mustangs Dayton Flyers Spread Result
Elo 34.7% 65.3% -
Bradley-Terry 34.0% 66.0% -
Margin 33.0% 67.0% +3.9 (8.1 off)
Pythagorean 29.8% 70.2% -
Efficiency 3.6% 96.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 27.9% 72.1% -
Log Adjusted 28.2% 71.8% -

Actual: Dayton Flyers +12 (74-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

SMU Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Z. Phelps 35 4-16 1-7 3-5 4 2 1 0 2 12 1 -
S. Todorovic 10 1-4 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 -1 -
J. Koulibaly 9 2-4 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 5 0 -
E. Lanier 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Z. Nutall * 34 6-15 3-10 5-5 2 0 2 0 1 20 8 -
S. Williamson * 30 6-12 0-2 2-2 9 1 0 1 1 14 12 -
E. Odigie * 30 2-12 0-0 2-2 11 3 1 0 0 6 9 -
J. Smith * 27 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 2 4 -
K. Ambrose-Hylton 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
F. Agunanne 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
Mo Njie 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
R. Wright 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Dayton Flyers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Holmes II * 39 7-11 0-0 6-9 7 3 1 5 1 20 24 -
K. Elvis * 36 3-11 2-7 2-2 0 5 0 0 2 10 2 -
M. Sharavjamts * 35 3-8 2-6 2-2 4 1 0 0 3 10 4 -
T. Camara * 35 3-7 0-1 2-5 18 2 2 1 2 8 22 -
R.J. Blakney * 27 2-7 1-4 1-2 4 2 0 0 3 6 2 -
M. Amzil 23 5-9 3-6 7-7 5 0 0 0 1 20 15 -
Z. Nwokeji 5 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter