Model Predictions
| Model | SMU Mustangs | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.0% | 67.0% | +3.9 | ✓ (8.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 3.6% | 96.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.9% | 72.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers +12 (74-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z. Phelps | 35 | 4-16 | 1-7 | 3-5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 1 | - |
| S. Todorovic | 10 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
| J. Koulibaly | 9 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
| E. Lanier | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Z. Nutall * | 34 | 6-15 | 3-10 | 5-5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 8 | - |
| S. Williamson * | 30 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| E. Odigie * | 30 | 2-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| J. Smith * | 27 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| K. Ambrose-Hylton | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| F. Agunanne | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Mo Njie | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Wright | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Holmes II * | 39 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 20 | 24 | - |
| K. Elvis * | 36 | 3-11 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 2 | - |
| M. Sharavjamts * | 35 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 4 | - |
| T. Camara * | 35 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 22 | - |
| R.J. Blakney * | 27 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| M. Amzil | 23 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 7-7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Z. Nwokeji | 5 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter