Model Predictions
| Model | Texas State Bobcats | Southern Utah Thunderbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 42.0% | 58.0% | +1.8 | ✗ (14.8 off) |
| Efficiency | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Southern Utah Thunderbirds -13 (65-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tuongthach Gatkek | 18 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Mason Harrell * | 34 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Dylan Dawson * | 31 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Tyrel Morgan * | 23 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Brandon Love * | 22 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Brandon Davis * | 18 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Davion Sykes | 24 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Drue Drinnon | 22 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Davion Coleman | 8 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parsa Fallah | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| T. Jones * | 38 | 7-18 | 3-10 | 9-11 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 12 | - |
| M. Fausett * | 34 | 6-15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | - |
| J. Spurgin * | 23 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 15 | - |
| H. Butler * | 22 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Drake Allen * | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| C. Healy | 19 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| F. Lemetti | 18 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Barnes | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Williams | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Anderson | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter