Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | UNLV Rebels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.8% | 28.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 53.5% | 46.5% | -0.8 | ✗ (8.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 73.9% | 26.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.8% | 77.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.0% | 77.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UNLV Rebels +8 (60-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kobe Elvis | 35 | 6-11 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Mustapha Amzil | 34 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | - |
| DaRon Holmes II | 34 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 | - |
| R.J. Blakney | 29 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Mike Sharavjamts | 25 | 4-6 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Koby Brea | 25 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -3 | - |
| Toumani Camara | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Zimi Nwokeji | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Richard Amaefule | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Brady Uhl | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah Parquet | 35 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Luis Rodriguez | 32 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| EJ Harkless | 29 | 9-19 | 3-10 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 11 | - |
| David Muoka | 28 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - |
| Keshon Gilbert | 28 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Justin Webster | 15 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Victor Iwuakor | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jordan McCabe | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jackie Johnson III | 10 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4 | - |
* = starter