Model Predictions
| Model | New Mexico Lobos | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.4% | 53.6% | +0.8 | ✗ (21.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.4% | 34.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 79.0% | 21.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.6% | 35.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.8% | 36.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs -21 (63-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Mashburn Jr. | 30 | 7-14 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Morris Udeze | 29 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Josiah Allick | 29 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 20 | - |
| Jaelen House | 25 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 9-10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 18 | - |
| Javonte Johnson | 21 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Donovan Dent | 20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - |
| KJ Jenkins | 19 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Jay Allen-Tovar | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Sebastian Forsling | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Braden Appelhans | 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Birima Seck | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Nutall | 30 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Zhuric Phelps | 27 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 5-7 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Samuell Williamson | 23 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Efe Odigie | 23 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Jalen Smith | 23 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Stefan Todorovic | 21 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Keon Ambrose-Hylton | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Emory Lanier | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jefferson Koulibaly | 9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Mo Njie | 8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Ricardo Wright | 8 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Xavier Foster | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Franklin Agunanne | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter