Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Utah Thunderbirds | New Mexico Lobos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.8% | 92.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.9% | 84.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.8% | 95.2% | +16.5 | ✓ (8.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.8% | 30.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.8% | 30.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New Mexico Lobos +8 (89-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parsa Fallah | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Fausett * | 37 | 6-14 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Drake Allen * | 30 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| T. Jones * | 24 | 10-19 | 6-12 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 13 | - |
| H. Butler * | 24 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 3 | - |
| J. Spurgin * | 21 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| D. Barnes | 23 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| A. Anderson | 16 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 3 | - |
| C. Healy | 14 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| M. Williams | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| F. Lemetti | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Mashburn Jr. * | 36 | 7-13 | 2-3 | 8-9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 18 | - |
| Jaelen House * | 32 | 6-15 | 3-7 | 8-12 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 23 | - |
| Javonte Johnson * | 31 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Morris Udeze * | 23 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Josiah Allick * | 21 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Jay Allen-Tovar | 23 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| KJ Jenkins | 13 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Donovan Dent | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Birima Seck | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Braden Appelhans | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter