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2023-02-04

Model Predictions

Model Brown Bears Harvard Crimson Spread Result
Elo 41.8% 58.2% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 39.1% 60.9% - โœ—
Margin 29.8% 70.2% +4.7 โœ— (7.7 off)
Pythagorean 46.4% 53.6% - โœ—
Efficiency 53.3% 46.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 51.1% 48.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 51.0% 49.0% - โœ“

Actual: Harvard Crimson -3 (65-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Brown Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kino Lilly Jr. * 36 7-11 3-4 4-4 2 0 1 0 3 21 10 -
Paxson Wojcik * 36 6-13 3-7 8-11 8 0 1 0 1 23 18 -
Nana Owusu-Anane * 30 5-9 0-0 2-4 9 0 1 2 4 12 11 -
Dan Friday * 29 3-6 0-0 4-6 8 3 3 1 2 10 17 -
Aaron Cooley * 17 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 0 -1 -
Kimo Ferrari 28 1-5 0-3 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 2 -2 -
Landon Lewis 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 1 0 0 6 -
Felix Kloman 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
Perry Cowan 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Harvard Crimson

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Evan Nelson * 35 2-10 2-4 3-3 5 3 0 0 2 9 5 -
Sam Silverstein * 29 1-6 0-3 4-4 5 1 0 0 1 6 5 -
I. Tretout * 27 5-10 0-2 2-2 3 2 1 0 2 12 6 -
C. Ledlum * 21 5-11 3-6 0-0 6 0 1 0 4 13 5 -
Justice Ajogbor * 17 2-8 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 4 -2 -
L. Sakota 26 2-7 2-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 6 -1 -
C. Okpara 25 4-6 0-1 3-5 8 2 0 0 0 11 15 -
J. Hemmings 10 2-2 0-0 0-2 3 0 0 0 0 4 5 -
Chandler Pigge 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
T. Simon 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter