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2022-12-10

Model Predictions

Model Nevada Wolf Pack Oregon Ducks Spread Result
Elo 53.3% 46.7% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 37.3% 62.7% - ✓
Margin 25.8% 74.2% +5.8 ✓ (7.2 off)
Pythagorean 40.9% 59.1% - ✓
Efficiency 52.6% 47.4% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 12.6% 87.4% - ✓
Log Adjusted 12.4% 87.6% - ✓

Actual: Oregon Ducks +13 (78-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Nevada Wolf Pack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Lucas 36 5-13 3-8 3-3 1 1 0 0 0 16 5 -
K. Blackshear 36 5-14 0-1 10-10 5 2 3 0 5 20 11 -
Tre Coleman 35 3-6 1-4 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 7 5 -
Dar. Williams 30 3-11 0-5 0-0 6 5 1 0 0 6 7 -
W. Baker 23 2-7 0-1 1-1 6 1 1 0 1 5 5 -
Nick Davidson 19 2-5 1-3 0-0 4 3 1 0 0 5 8 -
Tyler Powell 12 1-4 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 -1 -
Trey Pettigrew 9 1-6 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 -1 -

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Richardson 40 7-12 4-7 1-2 10 11 2 0 4 19 26 -
Brennan Rigsby 34 3-8 1-5 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 7 1 -
Q. Guerrier 30 7-13 5-8 7-8 9 1 0 1 1 26 23 -
N. Dante 25 4-8 0-0 3-4 5 1 1 3 1 11 12 -
R. Soares 24 2-6 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 1 3 5 0 -
Lok Wur 17 2-7 0-3 0-0 7 0 0 1 0 4 5 -
K. Ware 15 1-3 0-1 2-3 5 1 0 4 0 4 11 -
T. Williams 13 1-2 0-1 0-2 3 1 0 1 0 2 5 -
Gabe Reichle 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter