🐻⬇️🏀

@
2022-12-06

Model Predictions

Model Nevada Wolf Pack Pepperdine Waves Spread Result
Elo 86.1% 13.9% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 82.2% 17.8% - ✓
Margin 85.1% 14.9% -9.6 ✓ (1.6 off)
Pythagorean 45.9% 54.1% - ✗
Efficiency 89.3% 10.7% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 47.4% 52.6% - ✗
Log Adjusted 47.5% 52.5% - ✗

Actual: Pepperdine Waves -8 (77-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Nevada Wolf Pack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Lucas 37 5-10 2-6 6-6 2 0 1 0 0 18 11 -
K. Blackshear 34 7-15 2-4 6-7 3 4 0 0 4 22 10 -
Dar. Williams 29 1-8 0-2 0-0 2 2 3 1 1 2 1 -
Tre Coleman 29 2-5 0-2 4-6 5 2 0 1 1 8 10 -
Nick Davidson 25 4-8 1-4 0-0 8 0 2 1 1 9 11 -
W. Baker 19 3-6 0-0 3-3 4 0 0 0 3 9 4 -
Trey Pettigrew 15 3-5 0-1 1-1 5 0 0 0 0 7 7 -
Tyler Powell 12 4-4 2-2 0-1 6 0 0 0 0 10 12 -

Pepperdine Waves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Houston Mallette 38 5-14 3-7 2-2 4 1 0 0 1 15 5 -
Mike Mitchell Jr. 32 5-13 4-7 4-4 4 2 1 0 4 18 8 -
Boubacar Coulibaly 29 2-7 0-0 3-4 8 1 3 1 3 7 10 -
Maxwell Lewis 26 7-12 4-6 0-0 4 1 1 1 1 18 12 -
Malik Moore 23 2-6 1-2 2-3 1 0 0 0 1 7 1 -
Jevon Porter 21 2-7 1-3 2-2 10 1 0 0 1 7 10 -
Jan Zidek 19 2-6 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 5 0 -
Carson Basham 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 2 0 2 -
Jay Yoon 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter