Model Predictions
| Model | Texas State Bobcats | UTSA Roadrunners | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.4% | 26.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 61.0% | 39.0% | -2.5 | ✗ (7.5 off) |
| Efficiency | 78.0% | 22.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UTSA Roadrunners +5 (61-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tuongthach Gatkek | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tyrel Morgan * | 35 | 8-11 | 1-2 | 3-7 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Dylan Dawson * | 32 | 1-7 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Mason Harrell * | 32 | 8-18 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 9 | - |
| Nate Martin * | 24 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Brandon Davis * | 20 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Davion Sykes | 19 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Drue Drinnon | 18 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Brandon Love | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Davion Coleman | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UTSA Roadrunners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Buggs III * | 36 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 13 | - |
| J. Germany * | 32 | 5-14 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 2 | - |
| Japhet Medor * | 27 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 12 | - |
| I. Addo-Ankrah * | 22 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Josh Farmer * | 19 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| DJ Richards | 28 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| A. Aleu | 21 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| E. Czumbel | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| C. Tucker | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| L. Sabally | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter