Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Colorado Bears | Colorado State Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.5% | 82.5% | - | โ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | โ |
| Margin | 8.4% | 91.6% | +13.1 | โ (18.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 15.9% | 84.1% | - | โ |
| Efficiency | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | โ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.1% | 97.9% | - | โ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.9% | 98.1% | - | โ |
Actual: Colorado State Rams -5 (83-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Johnson II | 37 | 6-12 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Daylen Kountz * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 27 | 33 | - |
| Matt Johnson II * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 24 | - |
| Dalton Knecht * | 37 | 6-14 | 3-8 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Riley Abercrombie * | 25 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Theo Hughes * | 22 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Caleb Shaw | 20 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Brock Wisne | 18 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Connor Creech | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Tonje | 33 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Isaiah Rivera | 31 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Jalen Lake * | 34 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Isaiah Stevens * | 27 | 7-13 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 13 | - |
| James Moors * | 18 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Patrick Cartier | 22 | 10-15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 10 | - |
| Taviontae Jackson | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Joe Palmer | 7 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Baylor Hebb | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter