Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | Northern Colorado Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.3% | 81.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 22.1% | 77.9% | +6.9 | ✗ (8.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 72.2% | 27.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.5% | 13.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 87.0% | 13.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Colorado Bears -2 (65-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Heidbreder | 33 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 5-8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Ethan Taylor | 30 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Jeffrey Mills | 29 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Corbin Green | 28 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Camden Vander Zwaag | 21 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Rytis Petraitis | 19 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Carter Murphy | 19 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Beau Becker | 12 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Marcell McCreary | 9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Johnson II | 36 | 4-13 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Dalton Knecht | 35 | 6-13 | 1-5 | 4-5 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Riley Abercrombie | 34 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Brock Wisne | 22 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Theo Hughes | 19 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Connor Creech | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Caleb Shaw | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter