Model Predictions
| Model | Tarleton State Texans | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 74.2% | 25.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.3% | 26.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 59.8% | 40.2% | -2.2 | ✗ (16.2 off) |
| Efficiency | 65.7% | 34.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons +14 (81-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Tarleton State Texans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Daniel | 40 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| J. Hopkins | 36 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 6 | - |
| T. Booker | 32 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 5 | - |
| J. Smith | 21 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 15 | - |
| L. Williams | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Shamir Bogues | 17 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| T. Archibald | 16 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| C. Rushin | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| K. Gaddy | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. Brown | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Garry Clark | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Taylor | 34 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Jake Heidbreder | 30 | 6-10 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Rytis Petraitis | 29 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 7-8 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 24 | - |
| Camden Vander Zwaag | 24 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Carter Murphy | 23 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Beau Becker | 21 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Jeffrey Mills | 20 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Corbin Green | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 8 | - |
* = starter