Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 90.2% | 9.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.6% | 31.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 61.4% | 38.6% | -2.5 | ✗ (27.5 off) |
| Efficiency | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons +25 (80-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avery Felts | 35 | 5-11 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 7 | - |
| M. Farrington | 30 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| C. Fields | 29 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 2 | - |
| M. Davis | 25 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Terrance Ford Jr. | 24 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - |
| O. El-Sheikh | 23 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Julian Lual | 20 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Izaiyah Nelson | 6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A. Boutayeb | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| D. Reeves | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Taylor | 32 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Corbin Green | 28 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Jeffrey Mills | 27 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Rytis Petraitis | 24 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 18 | - |
| Jake Heidbreder | 22 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Camden Vander Zwaag | 22 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Carter Murphy | 13 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Marcell McCreary | 12 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Beau Becker | 11 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Chase Beasley | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jake Murphy | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Byron Brown | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Wyatt Bell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kellan Boylan | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter