Model Predictions
| Model | Montana Grizzlies | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 75.9% | 24.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.6% | 33.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 57.3% | 42.7% | -1.6 | ✗ (4.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 74.6% | 25.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.9% | 78.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.2% | 78.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons +3 (59-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Montana Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lonnell Martin Jr. | 32 | 2-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -3 | - |
| Brandon Whitney * | 39 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Josh Bannan * | 31 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Dischon Thomas * | 22 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Josh Vazquez * | 19 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jonathan Brown | 23 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Mack Anderson | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - |
| Laolu Oke | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Jaxon Nap | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Camden Vander Zwaag * | 33 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Ethan Taylor * | 32 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Jake Heidbreder * | 32 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Corbin Green * | 32 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 1-5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Jeffrey Mills * | 29 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Carter Murphy | 17 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Rytis Petraitis | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - |
| Beau Becker | 8 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Marcell McCreary | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter