Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Pilots | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.6% | 29.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.2% | 52.8% | +0.6 | ✗ (13.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 74.6% | 25.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.8% | 32.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.0% | 32.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons -13 (51-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Pilots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Robertson * | 35 | 5-16 | 2-7 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 3 | - |
| M. Wood * | 32 | 3-12 | 2-8 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| K. Sjolund * | 25 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| J. Perry * | 23 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| J. St. Pierre * | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Chika Nduka | 25 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Alden Applewhite | 24 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Juanse Gorosito | 19 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| W. Lowell | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| V. Vucinic | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeffrey Mills * | 36 | 2-9 | 2-7 | 6-8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Ethan Taylor * | 35 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Camden Vander Zwaag * | 34 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Jake Heidbreder * | 30 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Lucas Moerman * | 10 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Nikc Jackson | 25 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Rytis Petraitis | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Carter Murphy | 10 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Marcell McCreary | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter