Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | Bowling Green Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.8% | 91.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.6% | 73.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.1% | 73.9% | +5.7 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Efficiency | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Bowling Green Falcons +4 (62-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcell McCreary * | 32 | 4-10 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Ethan Taylor * | 32 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Jake Heidbreder * | 31 | 4-10 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Camden Vander Zwaag * | 29 | 5-8 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Lucas Moerman * | 25 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 13 | - |
| Carter Murphy | 22 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Nikc Jackson | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jake Murphy | 12 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Rytis Petraitis | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kaleb Lichau | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Bowling Green Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samari Curtis * | 32 | 6-13 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Kaden Metheny * | 29 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -3 | - |
| Leon Ayers III * | 27 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 3-6 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Rashaun Agee * | 26 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 7-9 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Gabe O'Neal * | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Brenton Mills | 24 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Sam Towns | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Chandler Turner | 16 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Willie Lightfoot | 11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Isaac Elsasser | 9 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
* = starter