Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Colorado Bears | New Mexico Lobos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.3% | 93.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.7% | 83.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.7% | 94.3% | +15.4 | ✓ (8.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 14.5% | 85.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 19.9% | 80.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.7% | 97.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.5% | 97.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Mexico Lobos +24 (98-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Johnson II | 39 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Matt Johnson II * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Dalton Knecht * | 34 | 12-21 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 29 | 19 | - |
| Daylen Kountz * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Theo Hughes * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Juju Ramirez * | 10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Caleb Shaw | 26 | 4-8 | 1-5 | 3-6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Riley Abercrombie | 24 | 5-6 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Brock Wisne | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Connor Creech | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josiah Allick | 29 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Emmanuel Kuac | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Braden Appelhans | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Mac Manzanares | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Morris Udeze * | 35 | 10-16 | 0-0 | 13-13 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 33 | 34 | - |
| Jaelen House * | 31 | 7-12 | 3-6 | 5-5 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 21 | - |
| Jamal Mashburn Jr. * | 31 | 7-13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Javonte Johnson * | 23 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Donovan Dent | 20 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 7 | - |
| KJ Jenkins | 20 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Birima Seck | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Sebastian Forsling | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Safi Fino-A-Laself | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter