Model Predictions
| Model | UMBC Retrievers | Lafayette Leopards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.0% | 37.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 82.3% | 17.7% | -8.4 | ✗ (42.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 78.2% | 21.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Lafayette Leopards +34 (72-38). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UMBC Retrievers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laycee Drake | 35 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| K. Bell | 26 | 1-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| KK White | 24 | 5-14 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | -4 | - |
| A. McCalla | 24 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| K. Dixon | 23 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| N. Staples | 19 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| S. Smith | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| A. May | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| P. Iradier | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Turkstra | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| G. Ceseretti | 6 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Riley Donahue | 5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
Lafayette Leopards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Andrews | 31 | 7-14 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 10 | - |
| J. Booth | 30 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 15 | - |
| A. Antognoli | 28 | 6-12 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 6 | - |
| H. Smith | 27 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | - |
| K. Drummond | 23 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| K. Favours | 22 | 4-11 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | - |
| E. Shields | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| S. Ntaconayigize | 11 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| K. Donahue | 11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
* = starter