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2022-12-10

Model Predictions

Model Saint Mary's Gaels San Diego State Aztecs Spread Result
Elo 35.3% 64.7% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 38.3% 61.7% - ✗
Margin 48.1% 51.9% +0.4 ✗ (7.4 off)
Efficiency 59.9% 40.1% - ✓

Actual: San Diego State Aztecs -7 (61-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Saint Mary's Gaels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Ducas 38 6-13 2-5 3-3 4 0 2 0 1 17 9 -
A. Mahaney 33 6-9 2-3 6-6 1 1 0 0 4 20 9 -
K. Bowen 33 1-4 1-3 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 3 4 -
L. Johnson 33 6-12 0-3 3-5 6 2 4 0 2 15 13 -
M. Saxen 31 3-6 0-0 0-1 9 3 2 3 0 6 17 -
A. Marciulionis 12 1-3 1-3 0-1 0 1 0 0 0 3 1 -
H. Wessels 9 1-1 0-0 1-2 3 1 0 0 0 3 6 -
C. Howell 6 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 1 0 1 1 2 -
Joshua Jefferson 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

San Diego State Aztecs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lamont Butler 31 3-7 0-1 5-8 3 2 1 0 0 11 10 -
M. Bradley 30 4-13 0-4 5-5 5 0 0 0 3 13 2 -
Darrion Trammell 27 3-11 1-4 0-1 2 4 0 0 2 7 0 -
A. Arop 21 3-5 0-0 0-0 3 4 1 1 1 6 9 -
K. Johnson 20 5-6 1-2 1-1 4 0 1 0 0 12 11 -
Jaedon Ledee 19 2-4 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 0 2 4 7 -
N. Mensah 18 2-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 2 4 3 -
Micah Parrish 18 1-4 1-2 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 4 0 -
A. Seiko 16 0-2 0-2 0-1 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

* = starter