Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Ball State Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.3% | 29.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 59.9% | 40.1% | -2.2 | ✗ (16.2 off) |
| Efficiency | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Ball State Cardinals +14 (83-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Burford | 37 | 6-14 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Malachi Poindexter | 33 | 5-11 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Kendall Lewis | 26 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Luke Kasubke | 25 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Seneca Knight | 23 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Colton Sandage | 19 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 0 | - |
| Harouna Sissoko | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Alex Kotov | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Jayden Johnson | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Joe Petrakis | 7 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Alston Andrews | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Demarius Jacobs | 38 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Jaylin Sellers | 35 | 7-12 | 3-3 | 7-8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 18 | - |
| Jarron Coleman | 34 | 6-16 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Payton Sparks | 28 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Mickey Pearson Jr. | 26 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Luke Bumbalough | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Basheer Jihad | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Jalen Windham | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter