Model Predictions
| Model | SMU Mustangs | Utah State Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.0% | 86.0% | - | โ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.7% | 81.3% | - | โ |
| Margin | 22.5% | 77.5% | +6.8 | โ (9.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 18.2% | 81.8% | - | โ |
| Efficiency | 4.4% | 95.6% | - | โ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.5% | 97.5% | - | โ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.6% | 97.4% | - | โ |
Actual: Utah State Aggies -3 (74-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zhuric Phelps | 34 | 8-21 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Zach Nutall | 30 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Samuell Williamson | 26 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Jalen Smith | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Efe Odigie | 24 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Stefan Todorovic | 23 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Keon Ambrose-Hylton | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jefferson Koulibaly | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Emory Lanier | 7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
Utah State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Shulga | 34 | 5-11 | 3-6 | 5-5 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Sean Bairstow | 32 | 7-14 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Steven Ashworth | 31 | 4-13 | 3-12 | 4-5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Taylor Funk | 28 | 3-12 | 0-7 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -4 | - |
| Zee Hamoda | 21 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Rylan Jones | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Trevin Dorius | 14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 14 | - |
* = starter