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2022-11-27

Model Predictions

Model Duke Blue Devils Purdue Boilermakers Spread Result
Elo 35.3% 64.7% -
Bradley-Terry 31.9% 68.1% -
Margin 31.7% 68.3% +4.2 (14.8 off)
Pythagorean 43.7% 56.3% -
Efficiency 41.3% 58.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 14.0% 86.0% -
Log Adjusted 13.9% 86.1% -

Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +19 (75-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Proctor * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 0 0 1 16 23 -
K. Filipowski * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 1 2 14 19 -
M. Mitchell * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 2 4 -
D. Lively II * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 2 2 1 0 8 -
D. Whitehead 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 6 6 -
R. Young 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 4 8 -
J. Blakes 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 3 -
J. Grandison 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
F. Loyer * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 0 1 18 21 -
Z. Edey * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 12 3 0 0 0 21 36 -
E. Morton * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 6 2 1 1 2 16 -
B. Smith * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 2 3 0 3 4 14 -
M. Gillis * 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 8 6 -
C. Furst 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 2 0 1 0 11 24 -
D. Jenkins Jr. 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 4 4 -
T. Kaufman-Renn 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 2 3 -

* = starter