Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Purdue Boilermakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.4% | 64.6% | +2.4 | ✓ (16.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.7% | 70.3% | +4.7 | ✓ (14.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +19 (75-56). Ratings: 2022-23 season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Roach | 37 | 5-13 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Christian Reeves | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Tyrese Proctor * | 36 | 7-13 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Kyle Filipowski * | 31 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Mark Mitchell Jr. * | 25 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Dereck Lively II * | 22 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Dariq Whitehead | 16 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Ryan Young | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Jaylen Blakes | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jacob Grandison | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Newman | 14 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Brian Waddell | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Fletcher Loyer * | 34 | 6-14 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 7 | - |
| Zach Edey * | 32 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 23 | - |
| Ethan Morton * | 26 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | - |
| Braden Smith * | 24 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Mason Gillis * | 14 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Caleb Furst | 24 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 18 | - |
| David Jenkins Jr. | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Trey Kaufman-Renn | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter