Model Predictions
| Model | Purdue Boilermakers | Gonzaga Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.8% | 57.2% | +1.6 | ✗ (19.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.9% | 37.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs -18 (66-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fletcher Loyer * | 34 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Braden Smith * | 33 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 19 | - |
| Zach Edey * | 31 | 10-16 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 23 | 16 | - |
| Ethan Morton * | 25 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Mason Gillis * | 22 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Brandon Newman | 18 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Caleb Furst | 15 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Trey Kaufman-Renn | 11 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| David Jenkins Jr. | 8 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Brian Waddell | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Gonzaga Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Timme * | 36 | 10-16 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 20 | - |
| Nolan Hickman * | 34 | 6-11 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Julian Strawther * | 33 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Rasir Bolton * | 32 | 4-12 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 0 | - |
| Anton Watson * | 21 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Malachi Smith | 21 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Hunter Sallis | 12 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Ben Gregg | 9 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Efton Reid | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter