Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Alabama Crimson Tide | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.9% | 81.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.3% | 79.7% | +7.5 | ✓ (5.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 5.7% | 94.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.9% | 92.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.6% | 92.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide +2 (103-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Shaver | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Caleb Love * | 58 | 13-36 | 3-11 | 5-5 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 34 | 10 | - |
| Leaky Black * | 54 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 15 | - |
| RJ Davis * | 50 | 8-24 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 9 | - |
| Armando Bacot * | 39 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 17 | - |
| Pete Nance * | 25 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 8 | - |
| N. Burnett * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Puff Johnson | 48 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 15 | - |
| D'Marco Dunn | 16 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Seth Trimble | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Dontrez Styles | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Justin McKoy | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Quinerly | 44 | 8-26 | 3-11 | 2-2 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 7 | - |
| Jaden Bradley | 28 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Nimari Burnett | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Mark Sears * | 55 | 8-13 | 7-11 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 17 | - |
| Brandon Miller * | 48 | 4-21 | 2-8 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | -1 | - |
| Charles Bediako * | 44 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 27 | - |
| Noah Clowney * | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Noah Gurley | 42 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Rylan Griffen | 16 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Nick Pringle | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter