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2022-11-25

Model Predictions

Model Oregon Ducks Michigan State Spartans Spread Result
Elo 6.1% 93.9% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 34.8% 65.2% - ✓
Margin 17.5% 82.5% +8.5 ✓ (4.5 off)
Pythagorean 45.2% 54.8% - ✓
Efficiency 46.4% 53.6% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 32.8% 67.2% - ✓
Log Adjusted 32.7% 67.3% - ✓

Actual: Michigan State Spartans +4 (74-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Richardson * 40 10-21 4-10 4-5 5 8 2 0 2 28 20 -
R. Soares * 37 4-9 1-3 1-1 6 0 1 0 2 10 6 -
K. Ware * 34 7-17 2-9 1-2 9 0 1 1 2 17 9 -
Q. Guerrier * 21 3-5 2-3 0-0 5 3 0 0 2 8 9 -
N. Dante * 7 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 4 1 -
Lok Wur 20 1-4 1-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 1 -
Gabe Reichle 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
Nate Bittle 15 0-2 0-2 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 0 3 -
James Cooper 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
B. Parris 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Joey Hauser * 38 7-11 4-8 0-0 10 3 0 0 1 18 19 -
Tyson Walker * 36 6-14 2-5 4-4 2 8 1 0 1 18 14 -
Pierre Brooks * 35 6-16 3-11 0-0 3 3 1 0 1 15 5 -
A.J. Hoggard * 28 2-7 0-2 5-6 3 3 0 0 3 9 5 -
Mady Sissoko * 20 2-3 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 0 0 6 8 -
Tre Holloman 18 0-3 0-3 0-0 2 2 0 1 1 0 1 -
Jaxon Kohler 16 3-6 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 6 4 -
Carson Cooper 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Jason Whitens 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 -

* = starter