Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Iowa State Cyclones | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.2% | 80.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.8% | 72.2% | +5.2 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Efficiency | 22.0% | 78.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Iowa State Cyclones +5 (70-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Love * | 37 | 4-14 | 1-7 | 3-4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | -1 | - |
| Armando Bacot * | 37 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | - |
| RJ Davis * | 32 | 5-14 | 1-7 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 4 | - |
| Pete Nance * | 31 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Leaky Black * | 31 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| R. Jones | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Seth Trimble | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Puff Johnson | 12 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| D'Marco Dunn | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Iowa State Cyclones
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaren Holmes | 29 | 8-17 | 2-4 | 4-6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 12 | - |
| Caleb Grill * | 38 | 11-15 | 7-11 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 20 | - |
| Aljaz Kunc * | 33 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Jaren Holmes * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 29 | - |
| Tamin Lipsey * | 28 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Osun Osunniyi * | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Gabe Kalscheur | 23 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Hason Ward | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Demarion Watson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter