Model Predictions
| Model | Butler Bulldogs | NC State Wolfpack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.4% | 80.6% | +7.8 | ✓ (7.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 3.2% | 96.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: NC State Wolfpack +15 (76-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Butler Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Turnbull | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Chuck Harris * | 40 | 9-18 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 6 | - |
| Jayden Taylor * | 38 | 7-16 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Simas Lukosius * | 36 | 1-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Manny Bates * | 33 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Eric Hunter Jr. * | 33 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Myles Tate | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Player #5105573 | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Pierce Thomas | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Smith * | 37 | 4-14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| J. Joiner * | 35 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 7-8 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 10 | - |
| C. Morsell * | 35 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Jack Clark * | 27 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| D. Mahorcic * | 23 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| DJ Burns Jr. | 17 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Ernest Ross | 14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Breon Pass | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| LJ Thomas | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter