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2022-11-21

Model Predictions

Model Louisville Cardinals Arkansas Razorbacks Spread Result
Elo 31.4% 68.6% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 17.3% 82.7% - ✓
Margin 14.2% 85.8% +9.9 ✓ (16.1 off)
Pythagorean 12.4% 87.6% - ✓
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - ✓
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - ✓

Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +26 (80-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Louisville Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mike James * 35 0-2 0-1 3-4 1 1 1 1 2 3 3 -
El Ellis * 31 4-16 2-5 1-2 3 2 0 0 7 11 -7 -
Jae'lyn Withers * 25 1-4 0-2 5-6 5 1 1 0 3 7 7 -
B. Huntley-Hatfield * 24 0-2 0-1 1-2 2 0 1 0 3 1 -1 -
S. Curry * 18 1-2 0-0 1-2 1 0 1 0 1 3 2 -
Kamari Lands 21 3-5 1-2 6-6 2 0 0 0 1 13 9 -
JJ Traynor 18 4-5 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 9 2 -
R. Wheeler 12 1-2 0-0 0-1 4 0 0 0 1 2 3 -
Hercy Miller 6 1-2 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
Devin Ree 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
F. Basili 3 1-4 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -2 -
Z. Payne 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Aidan Mccool 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Myles-Devore 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Black 35 9-11 3-5 5-5 3 6 2 0 4 26 22 -
Jordan Walsh 28 2-6 2-5 1-2 2 2 1 0 2 7 4 -
Derrian Ford 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Joseph Pinion 3 0-1 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
Barry Dunning Jr. 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Ricky Council IV * 35 6-13 3-7 0-0 3 3 4 0 4 15 8 -
Anthony Black * 35 9-11 3-5 5-5 3 6 2 0 4 26 22 -
Davonte Davis * 32 1-4 0-3 0-0 0 5 0 0 1 2 2 -
Jordan Walsh * 28 2-6 2-5 1-2 2 2 1 0 2 7 4 -
M. Mitchell * 18 2-3 0-0 1-2 6 1 0 1 2 5 8 -
M. Mitchell 20 4-5 0-0 4-6 6 3 2 2 0 12 20 -
Trevon Brazile 15 0-2 0-2 1-2 2 0 1 0 2 1 0 -
Jalen Graham 6 4-5 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 8 3 -
Derrian Ford 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Joseph Pinion 3 0-1 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
Barry Dunning Jr. 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Cade Arbogast 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Lawson Blake 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter