Model Predictions
| Model | Nevada Wolf Pack | Kansas State Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.1% | 34.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.9% | 69.1% | +4.4 | ✓ (4.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.0% | 96.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.9% | 96.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Kansas State Wildcats +9 (96-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Blackshear * | 42 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 9-10 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 21 | - |
| T. Coleman * | 42 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| J. Lucas * | 39 | 6-12 | 4-9 | 4-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 10 | - |
| W. Baker * | 33 | 8-13 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Dar. Williams * | 27 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| T. Pettigrew | 17 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| N. Davidson | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| T. Powell | 10 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
Kansas State Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Nowell * | 41 | 10-20 | 2-7 | 7-9 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 29 | 18 | - |
| K. Johnson * | 40 | 8-13 | 2-3 | 10-11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 28 | 22 | - |
| N. Tomlin * | 38 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| D. N'Guessan * | 27 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 14 | - |
| C. Carter * | 24 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| D. Sills | 28 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | - |
| I. Massoud | 10 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| T. Greene | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A. Iyiola | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter