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2022-11-23

Model Predictions

Model Auburn Tigers Northwestern Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 79.2% 20.8% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 61.9% 38.1% - ✓
Margin 72.7% 27.3% -5.4 ✓ (4.4 off)
Pythagorean 45.3% 54.7% - ✗
Efficiency 66.4% 33.6% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 24.4% 75.6% - ✗
Log Adjusted 24.4% 75.6% - ✗

Actual: Northwestern Wildcats -1 (42-43). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Yohan Traore 12 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
Chance Westry 10 0-3 0-2 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -
Tre Donaldson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Wendell Green Jr. * 31 1-9 0-3 0-0 10 3 1 0 4 2 3 -
Jaylin Williams * 28 4-10 3-6 0-0 4 0 1 2 1 11 7 -
Johni Broome * 24 1-3 0-0 3-4 8 0 1 2 3 5 10 -
Chris Moore * 15 0-4 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -4 -
Zep Jasper * 14 0-2 0-1 2-3 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
K.D. Johnson 25 2-8 1-5 7-7 1 1 1 0 1 12 6 -
Allen Flanigan 22 3-6 1-2 0-2 4 2 0 0 0 7 7 -
Dylan Cardwell 16 2-4 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 2 1 4 7 -

Northwestern Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Boo Buie * 37 3-13 0-6 0-0 5 3 2 0 3 6 0 -
Robbie Beran * 37 1-9 0-5 0-0 8 0 1 1 1 2 2 -
Chase Audige * 31 4-14 1-4 1-2 3 0 2 3 1 10 3 -
Ty Berry * 26 2-9 1-6 4-4 3 0 1 0 1 9 3 -
Tydus Verhoeven * 21 1-2 0-1 0-2 4 0 1 2 0 2 7 -
Brooks Barnhizer 29 1-6 0-2 4-4 6 1 0 0 0 6 7 -
Matthew Nicholson 19 2-3 0-0 3-4 4 0 1 2 2 7 9 -
Y. Traore 12 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
C. Westry 10 0-3 0-2 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -
T. Donaldson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter