Model Predictions
| Model | Missouri State Bears | Ball State Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.7% | 39.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 59.9% | 40.1% | -2.2 | ✗ (5.2 off) |
| Efficiency | 59.4% | 40.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Ball State Cardinals +3 (67-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damien Mayo Jr. | 23 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Chance Moore | 14 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 4-6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Dalen Ridgnal | 13 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| James Graham III | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jonathan Mogbo | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Alston Mason * | 33 | 4-13 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Kendle Moore * | 26 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Donovan Clay * | 24 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Bryan Trimble Jr. * | 22 | 3-8 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Dawson Carper * | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -1 | - |
| N.J. Benson | 19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarron Coleman * | 35 | 4-18 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Payton Sparks * | 32 | 8-10 | 1-1 | 7-13 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 29 | - |
| Jaylin Sellers * | 29 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Demarius Jacobs * | 25 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Jalen Windham * | 15 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Mickey Pearson Jr. | 26 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Luke Bumbalough | 21 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Kaiyem Cleary | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Basheer Jihad | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter