🐻⬇️🏀

@
2022-11-20

Model Predictions

Model Colorado Buffaloes Boise State Broncos Spread Result
Elo 49.3% 50.7% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 43.7% 56.3% - ✓
Margin 47.2% 52.8% +0.6 ✓ (12.4 off)
Pythagorean 42.4% 57.6% - ✓
Efficiency 30.4% 69.6% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 52.2% 47.8% - ✗
Log Adjusted 52.9% 47.1% - ✗

Actual: Boise State Broncos +13 (68-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Colorado Buffaloes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
KJ Simpson * 32 6-13 0-3 2-3 5 4 0 0 4 14 6 -
J. Gabbidon * 27 1-4 1-3 1-2 1 1 1 2 2 4 3 -
Nique Clifford * 25 3-8 0-2 2-3 4 1 1 0 2 8 4 -
T. da Silva * 24 4-8 0-2 1-2 4 0 0 0 0 9 5 -
L. Lovering * 19 0-0 0-0 1-2 6 0 1 1 3 1 6 -
E. Wright 19 2-4 0-0 2-3 2 0 1 0 0 6 5 -
J. Hammond III 19 1-3 1-2 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 4 2 -
J. Ruffin 18 2-10 2-7 1-2 5 2 1 0 0 7 5 -
Luke O'Brien 17 0-3 0-1 2-4 3 1 0 0 1 2 2 -

Boise State Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyson Degenhart * 37 4-11 2-6 4-4 7 1 1 1 3 14 10 -
Marcus Shaver Jr. * 35 6-18 3-8 5-8 10 2 3 1 2 20 16 -
Max Rice * 30 2-8 1-3 0-1 3 3 0 0 0 5 3 -
Chibuzo Agbo * 27 3-10 0-2 1-2 6 0 2 0 0 7 5 -
Naje Smith * 16 5-7 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 10 6 -
Lukas Milner 21 2-3 0-0 2-2 5 2 1 1 2 6 10 -
Jace Whiting 17 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 0 -
Sadraque Nganga 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
Pavle Kuzmanovic 4 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 3 2 -
Mohamed Sylla 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Kobe Young 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter