Model Predictions
| Model | Fairfield Stags | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 69.8% | 30.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.9% | 26.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 92.0% | 8.0% | -13.4 | ✓ (6.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 70.7% | 29.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers -7 (83-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Fairfield Stags
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Izabela Nicoletti-Leite | 38 | 4-8 | 4-6 | 8-12 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 21 | - |
| A. Hernangomez | 35 | 7-15 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 19 | - |
| Mimi Rubino | 32 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 5-9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Lauren Beach | 29 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | - |
| C. Cavanaugh | 27 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | - |
| B. Tatarian | 25 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| M. Martin | 12 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| A. Eng | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shannon Wheeler | 33 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Sydney Freeman | 32 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 10 | - |
| D. Bohanon | 29 | 2-9 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Nayo Lear | 27 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 0 | - |
| M. Perez | 27 | 9-17 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 19 | - |
| Taisiya Kozlova | 25 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| M. Perry | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Anyssa Jones | 8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
* = starter