Model Predictions
| Model | Niagara Purple Eagles | Manhattan Jaspers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.8% | 58.2% | +1.8 | ✗ (5.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Manhattan Jaspers -4 (62-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Niagara Purple Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Yelle | 34 | 2-11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Aaliyah Parker | 32 | 5-16 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Saige Glover | 29 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 17 | - |
| An. Parker | 26 | 4-13 | 0-2 | 4-7 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 12 | -1 | - |
| N. O'Neil | 25 | 7-12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 7 | - |
| B. Jones | 18 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Marlie Dickerson | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Amelia Strong | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Lore Porter | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Hicks | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| S. Faulcon | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
Manhattan Jaspers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jade Blagrove | 36 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Bella Nascimento | 34 | 8-26 | 2-12 | 4-4 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 8 | - |
| D. Davis | 31 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Petra Juric | 28 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Anne Bair | 17 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -5 | - |
| L. Ozturk | 16 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| B. Harvey-Carr | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 3 | - |
| E. LaPointe | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| H. Galunic | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| C. Katsamouri | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| N. Dodson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter