Model Predictions
| Model | Providence Friars | Butler Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.0% | 65.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 41.1% | 58.9% | +2.0 | ✗ (22.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.0% | 37.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 90.5% | 9.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.4% | 21.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.6% | 21.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Butler Bulldogs -20 (52-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Providence Friars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ed Croswell | 34 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 18 | - |
| D. Carter | 34 | 9-16 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 15 | - |
| J. Bynum | 31 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Bryce Hopkins | 29 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| N. Locke | 27 | 2-10 | 1-6 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -2 | - |
| C. Moore | 16 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| A. Breed | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jayden Pierre | 12 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| C. Floyd Jr. | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Rafael Castro | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| L. Fonts | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. O'Haire | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Butler Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Thomas | 31 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Chuck Harris | 29 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 4-6 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Manny Bates | 27 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Ali Ali | 26 | 4-12 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Eric Hunter Jr. | 23 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Pierce Thomas | 22 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Simas Lukosius | 21 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Jayden Taylor | 15 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| D.J. Hughes | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter