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2022-12-22

Model Predictions

Model Butler Bulldogs Creighton Bluejays Spread Result
Elo 22.9% 77.1% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 22.8% 77.2% - ✓
Margin 13.3% 86.7% +10.3 ✓ (11.7 off)
Pythagorean 25.6% 74.4% - ✓
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 8.6% 91.4% - ✓
Log Adjusted 8.4% 91.6% - ✓

Actual: Creighton Bluejays +22 (78-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Butler Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Eric Hunter Jr. 31 1-4 0-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 4 2 -3 -
Jayden Taylor 30 3-9 0-1 3-4 5 1 2 1 1 9 8 -
Simas Lukosius 29 3-10 0-2 2-2 5 2 0 0 0 8 5 -
Chuck Harris 29 6-12 1-3 1-1 3 3 1 0 0 14 9 -
Manny Bates 23 3-6 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 6 3 -
Ali Ali 21 3-8 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 7 -3 -
Pierce Thomas 16 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
Jalen Thomas 15 4-5 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 1 8 5 -
D.J. Hughes 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Myles Wilmoth 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Connor Turnbull 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Creighton Bluejays

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Scheierman 36 6-9 2-5 0-0 8 4 3 3 6 14 17 -
Arthur Kaluma 33 4-10 2-3 2-4 6 2 0 0 3 12 7 -
Ryan Nembhard 33 4-8 1-3 2-2 4 5 0 0 1 11 11 -
Ryan Kalkbrenner 29 8-9 1-1 2-3 4 2 1 2 0 19 19 -
T. Alexander 29 2-7 2-3 2-4 4 2 0 1 0 8 8 -
F. Farabello 18 0-2 0-1 0-0 4 3 1 0 1 0 5 -
Fredrick King 10 3-3 0-0 3-4 5 0 1 2 3 9 11 -
Mason Miller 7 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
B. Shtolzberg 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
E. Young 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Sami Osmani 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
Zander Yates 1 1-1 0-0 1-1 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

* = starter