Model Predictions
| Model | Yale Bulldogs | Butler Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.6% | 36.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 29.0% | 71.0% | +4.9 | ✓ (5.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 71.5% | 28.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 93.7% | 6.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.3% | 25.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.2% | 25.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Butler Bulldogs +10 (71-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Yale Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Knowling | 34 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | - |
| John Poulakidas | 31 | 1-9 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Bez Mbeng | 29 | 6-11 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| August Mahoney | 25 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 2 | - |
| EJ Jarvis | 24 | 6-12 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Isaiah Kelly | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Jack Molloy | 15 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Michael Feinberg | 15 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Yassine Gharram | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
Butler Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manny Bates | 39 | 9-15 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 14 | - |
| Chuck Harris | 36 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Jayden Taylor | 34 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 7-7 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 19 | - |
| Eric Hunter Jr. | 33 | 4-11 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Simas Lukosius | 30 | 5-8 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Pierce Thomas | 28 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
* = starter