Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Purdue Boilermakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.4% | 67.6% | +4.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.4% | 80.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.3% | 80.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +5 (76-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Shannon Jr. * | 33 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 4 | - |
| M. Mayer * | 32 | 5-14 | 1-10 | 5-7 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Coleman Hawkins * | 29 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-4 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 13 | - |
| RJ Melendez * | 28 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| D. Dainja * | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Ty Rodgers | 22 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Sencire Harris | 21 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Luke Goode | 16 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Brandon Lieb | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Newman * | 34 | 5-10 | 3-8 | 6-8 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 22 | - |
| Braden Smith * | 31 | 6-9 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Zach Edey * | 27 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Fletcher Loyer * | 26 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Mason Gillis * | 17 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Caleb Furst | 23 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Ethan Morton | 20 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Trey Kaufman-Renn | 13 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| David Jenkins Jr. | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
* = starter