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2023-02-26

Model Predictions

Model Illinois Fighting Illini Ohio State Buckeyes Spread Result
Elo 63.8% 36.2% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 59.3% 40.7% - โœ—
Margin 60.0% 40.0% -2.2 โœ— (14.2 off)
Pythagorean 56.8% 43.2% - โœ—
Efficiency 81.4% 18.6% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 62.1% 37.9% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 62.2% 37.8% - โœ—

Actual: Ohio State Buckeyes +12 (72-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Coleman Hawkins * 38 6-13 2-5 0-1 7 2 2 1 3 14 10 -
M. Mayer * 31 4-11 3-10 0-0 3 1 0 2 1 11 5 -
T. Shannon Jr. * 29 3-12 0-3 4-4 4 2 0 0 4 10 0 -
Jayden Epps * 23 3-10 1-6 3-4 2 1 0 0 2 10 1 -
D. Dainja * 9 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
Ty Rodgers 28 2-4 0-0 2-4 4 1 1 0 1 6 7 -
RJ Melendez 22 2-2 0-0 1-1 2 0 0 0 0 5 5 -
Sencire Harris 13 1-4 0-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 1 -
Luke Goode 7 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 -

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Justice Sueing * 37 6-14 0-2 2-2 11 2 1 1 0 14 15 -
Bruce Thornton * 34 8-11 1-2 3-4 5 2 0 0 1 20 15 -
Roddy Gayle Jr. * 30 1-5 0-1 0-0 2 2 2 0 1 2 2 -
Brice Sensabaugh * 28 5-11 0-4 4-4 6 2 0 1 3 14 9 -
Felix Okpara * 8 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 2 4 2 -
Isaac Likekele 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 3 0 3 -
Sean McNeil 19 4-8 1-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 9 1 -
Eugene Brown III 17 4-4 1-1 0-0 4 0 2 0 1 9 10 -

* = starter