Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Iowa Hawkeyes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.3% | 19.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.1% | 51.9% | +0.4 | ✓ (5.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Iowa Hawkeyes +6 (112-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player #4432129 * | 42 | 11-15 | 2-3 | 7-8 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 24 | - |
| Player #4295180 * | 41 | 6-9 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 18 | - |
| J. Akins * | 34 | 7-10 | 4-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 13 | - |
| A. Hoggard * | 34 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 12-14 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 17 | - |
| M. Sissoko * | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Player #4592693 | 36 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 8 | - |
| T. Holloman | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Kohler | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| C. Cooper | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| P. Brooks | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Whitens | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Iowa Hawkeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Perkins * | 38 | 9-12 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 27 | - |
| Player #4594326 * | 38 | 8-19 | 2-8 | 8-11 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 22 | - |
| C. McCaffery * | 37 | 3-9 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| F. Rebraca * | 34 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 16 | - |
| A. Ulis * | 15 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Pa. Sandfort | 32 | 7-14 | 6-10 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 15 | - |
| P. McCaffery | 23 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| J. Dix | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter