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2023-02-22

Model Predictions

Model Iowa Hawkeyes Wisconsin Badgers Spread Result
Elo 21.2% 78.8% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 44.3% 55.7% - ✓
Margin 43.0% 57.0% +1.6 ✓ (10.4 off)
Pythagorean 47.3% 52.7% - ✓
Efficiency 60.2% 39.8% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 52.0% 48.0% - ✗
Log Adjusted 52.0% 48.0% - ✗

Actual: Wisconsin Badgers +12 (64-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Iowa Hawkeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Connor McCaffery * 36 1-6 0-5 0-0 8 1 1 0 3 2 3 -
Tony Perkins * 33 4-14 0-5 5-5 2 0 1 0 2 13 0 -
Filip Rebraca * 31 6-10 0-0 1-4 7 1 0 0 1 13 10 -
Kris Murray * 27 2-10 1-5 0-0 5 1 1 1 0 5 3 -
Ahron Ulis * 23 3-9 1-5 2-2 1 2 0 0 0 9 3 -
Payton Sandfort 26 4-9 1-4 1-2 3 1 0 0 0 10 5 -
Patrick McCaffery 18 0-3 0-3 0-0 0 1 0 1 0 0 -1 -
Josh Dix 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ross Candelino 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Tyler Wahl * 36 5-8 0-1 1-2 14 2 1 0 3 11 17 -
Chucky Hepburn * 34 4-9 1-4 3-5 4 5 0 0 1 12 11 -
Max Klesmit * 31 1-2 1-1 1-2 3 1 0 0 2 4 4 -
Connor Essegian * 31 5-13 2-7 5-7 5 1 0 0 1 17 9 -
Steven Crowl * 12 4-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 8 4 -
Carter Gilmore 26 2-5 0-3 0-2 2 1 0 0 0 4 2 -
Jordan Davis 17 2-3 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
Markus Ilver 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Kamari McGee 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 -
Isaac Lindsey 4 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
Isaac Gard 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Chris Hodges 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Justin Taphorn 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter