Model Predictions
| Model | Iowa Hawkeyes | Northwestern Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 55.8% | 44.2% | -1.3 | ✗ (21.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northwestern Wildcats +20 (80-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Iowa Hawkeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kris Murray * | 35 | 5-13 | 0-6 | 4-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Connor McCaffery * | 33 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Tony Perkins * | 29 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Filip Rebraca * | 28 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Ahron Ulis * | 26 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Payton Sandfort | 19 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Patrick McCaffery | 16 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Josh Dix | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Dasonte Bowen | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boo Buie * | 36 | 6-11 | 3-5 | 8-8 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 24 | - |
| Ty Berry * | 35 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Robbie Beran * | 26 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Chase Audige * | 21 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Matthew Nicholson * | 18 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Brooks Barnhizer | 33 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Tydus Verhoeven | 22 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Nick Martinelli | 8 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Roy Dixon III | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter